Insights and Market Perspectives

Why minimizing investment losses can lead to long-term outperformance

Author: Mark Stacey

February 7, 2018

The almost nine-year bull run in global stock markets is one of the longest, best performing in history, but sooner or later, it will suffer a major setback just like those before it. When it does, keeping losses to a minimum may be the best way for investors to ensure their portfolio’s success in the long run.

The reasons why are various. For one, there is psychology, or more specifically loss aversion. Most people would prefer to avoid losing $5 to finding $5 and when they actually do lose money, they feel the pain twice as much as the joy of gaining it, say behavioural research studies.

Not surprisingly, this tendency can be easily triggered during market corrections or extended slumps in individual stock prices and lead to poor decision making. Namely, investors can try to win back what they lost by taking on more risk than is suitable, or they can abandon their investments, move to cash and negate any opportunity of participating in future gains all together.

Another important reason to minimize losses is based on simple math. For a portfolio to get back to breakeven after enduring a loss, it must participate in a subsequent rally that is larger in magnitude than the initial loss. Furthermore, the magnitude of the loss exponentially impacts the gain required to breakeven (see chart below). In other words, larger losses require even more significant gains for an investor to get back to square one.

Why minimizing investment losses can lead to long-term outperformance

But this is only part of the equation. By limiting losses, investors are able to start with a higher base when the next market turn begins, leaving investors better positioned to experience lower overall volatility in their portfolios and still outperform the overall market in a full cycle of sell-off and recovery (see chart below).

Why minimizing investment losses can lead to long-term outperformance

Of course, this can be easier said than done. Many strategies that focus on reducing losses, do so at the expense of future returns, leaving investors no better off in the end.

But an active approach to investing that properly balances risk management with opportunities for reward has the potential to provide investors a smoother, more favourable experience that can help overcome the emotional highs and lows of stock markets.

Commentaries contained herein are provided as a general source of information based on information available as of February 6, 2018 and should not be considered as personal investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy and/or sell securities. Every effort has been made to ensure accuracy in these commentaries at the time of publication; however, accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Market conditions may change and the manager accepts no responsibility for individual investment decisions arising from the use of or reliance on the information contained herein. Investors are expected to obtain professional investment advice.
AGF Investments is a group of wholly owned subsidiaries of AGF Management Limited, a Canadian reporting issuer. The subsidiaries included in AGF Investments are AGF Investments Inc. (AGFI), Highstreet Asset Management Inc. (Highstreet), AGF Investments America Inc. (AGFA), AGF Asset Management (Asia) Limited (AGF AM Asia) and AGF International Advisors Company Limited (AGFIA). AGFA is a registered advisor in the U.S. AGFI and Highstreet are registered as portfolio managers across Canadian securities commissions. AGFIA is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland and registered with the Australian Securities & Investments Commission. AGF AM Asia is registered as a portfolio manager in Singapore. The subsidiaries that form AGF Investments manage a variety of mandates comprised of equity, fixed income and balanced assets.

About AGF Management Limited

Founded in 1957, AGF Management Limited (AGF) is an independent and globally diverse asset management firm. AGF brings a disciplined approach to delivering excellence in investment management through its fundamental, quantitative, alternative and high-net-worth businesses focused on providing an exceptional client experience. AGF’s suite of investment solutions extends globally to a wide range of clients, from financial advisors and individual investors to institutional investors including pension plans, corporate plans, sovereign wealth funds and endowments and foundations.

For further information, please visit AGF.com.

© 2018 AGF Management Limited. All rights reserved.

Written by

Mark Stacey, MBA, CFA

Senior Vice President, Head of Portfolio Management & Co-Chief Investment Officer

Highstreet Asset Management Inc.

More articles like this.

Inversion perversion: Why the yield curve may not be a surefire signal of the next recession

This time around, the yield curve may not be in such a rush to flip upside down and, because of that, it’s not necessarily the same surefire sign of what’s to come.

Read More

Gains may be tougher as the bull runs into the late cycle

The recent selloff in equity markets may not signal an immediate end to the bull run, in fact markets have largely seen positive returns this week, but further gains are only going to get harder to come by at this late stage in the cycle.

Read More

Stormy weather: Markets are roiled by the hurricane and the thunder created by the Fed

AGF’s Steve Bonnyman gives his perspective on recent market volatility, driven by trade disputes, a president fighting with the Fed, and how investors should position themselves going forward.

Read More