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By: Greg Valliere

December 2, 2022

Some Newsworthy Themes as Biden and Macron Meet

LOTS OF INTERESTING THEMES as Presidents Joe Biden and Emmanuel Macron emphasized close ties this week — but acknowledged that there’s one major issue of contention.

THE TWO LEADERS vowed friendship, but we doubt there was any bromance between Hunter Biden and Rep. Kevin McCarthy who, surprisingly, were in attendance at last night’s lavish State dinner. No word on whether they discussed next year’s non-stop hearings on Biden’s business dealings.

WE WEREN’T INVITED to last night’s dinner (despite our generous support
of the French wine industry). It appears that there were two major developments:

FIRST, BIDEN AND MACRON agreed that there will be no wavering in Western
backing of Ukraine, with Biden suggesting that he could be willing to meet with
Vladimir Putin. The scenario of a truce followed by negotiations — with Macron as an intermediary — still has a flicker of hope.

THE OTHER DEVELOPMENT was Biden’s apparent willingness to make what he called “tweaks” to provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act, which is hated in Western Europe because of its subsidies to American manufacturers and tax incentives for electric vehicles and other products that are assembled in North America.

ONE CAN ONLY IMAGINE the reaction on Capitol Hill to Biden’s comment that “there’s tweaks we can make that can fundamentally make it easier for European countries to participate” in the subsidies, something that “has to be worked out.” Virtually no one in Congress has any interest in re-opening the Inflation Reduction Act, although this could be addressed in rule-making.

BIDEN AND U.S. OFFICIALS insist that the provisions were aimed at boosting supply chains to wean the U.S. off of its reliance on Chinese products. But the European Union, South Korea, Japan and the U.K. have all criticized the electric-vehicle provisions, arguing that they discriminate against their companies and violate World Trade Organization rules, as the Wall Street Journal reports this morning.

IT’S BEEN A SUCCESSFUL AUTUMN for Biden, with the economy in surprisingly strong shape and Democrats pleased with an election that could have been much worse for them.

BUT NOW IT’S DECEMBER and the world will focus on a humanitarian crisis in Ukraine this winter. Biden and Macron are united in seeking a cease-fire and the beginning of negotiations; they need to show Putin that the West is united, and that goal was met this week.

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The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of AGF, its subsidiaries or any of its affiliated companies, funds or investment strategies.

The views expressed in this blog are provided as a general source of information based on information available as of the date of publication and should not be considered as personal investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy and/or sell securities. Speculation or stated believes about future events, such as market or economic conditions, company or security performance, or other projections represent the beliefs of the author and do not necessarily represent the view of AGF, its subsidiaries or any of its affiliated companies, funds or investment strategies. Every effort has been made to ensure accuracy in these commentaries at the time of publication; however, accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Market conditions may change and AGF accepts no responsibility for individual investment decisions arising from the use of or reliance on the information contained herein. Any financial projections are based on the opinions of the author and should not be considered as a forecast. The forward looking statements and opinions may be affected by changing economic circumstances and are subject to a number of uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in the forward looking statements. The information contained in this commentary is designed to provide you with general information related to the political and economic environment in the United States. It is not intended to be comprehensive investment advice applicable to the circumstances of the individual.

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