A November Surprise?
Author: Greg Valliere
October 31, 2024
AFTER THE VULGAR MADISON SQUARE GARDEN rally and the clumsy Joe Biden response, we thought that was the end of October surprises. But there may be an early November surprise lurking.
HOUSE SPEAKER MIKE JOHNSON has been hinting for the past week that he is preparing a post-election surprise: a “massive reform” of Obamacare.
THIS COULD BE A CATASTROPHIC GAFFE since Obamacare polls extremely well — 60% or better in most surveys. If Johnson is hinting that there will be cuts in Obamacare spending, that could be a political disaster for the GOP.
REPUBLICANS IN THIS TOWN are attempting to dissuade Johnson from any comments on Obamacare, just as Democrats are trying to muzzle the hopelessly gaffe-prone Biden.
THESE CONTROVERSIES could move the needle a bit with Hispanics, and with voters who want their health care. At the least, these controversies have angered strategists in both parties, who effectively lost a day or two in their campaigns as other issues gobbled up the limelight.
THIS COMES AS HARRIS INCHES HIGHER IN KEY STATES — polls show her slightly ahead in Wisconsin and Michigan, but Trump appears to lead by a point or two in Pennsylvania. Harris still needs an upset in North Carolina, in our opinion.
DOES HARRIS STILL HAVE A CHANCE? Yes, if she can take credit for yesterday’s very strong economic data — and if she plays the Obamacare card, which could be the last surprise of this wild campaign.
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