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Chuck Schumer Caves

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Chuck Schumer Caves

Author: Greg Valliere

March 14, 2025

THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY — with no leader and no agenda — now faces a bitter internal fight after Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer capitulated yesterday on a budget bill that probably will avoid a government shutdown.

DEMOCRATS IN THE HOUSE, who were virtually unanimous in their opposition to a GOP budget bill, reacted furiously, as did most Democrats around the country. But Schumer apparently will win, as the party fractures.

BARRING A SENATE REVOLT TODAY, this will be still another victory for House Speaker Mike Johnson, who adroitly backed the Democrats into a corner.

FOR SCHUMER, A CHALLENGE TO HIS LEADERSHIP is virtually certain, further dividing the Democrats. He probably will get a challenge from Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the radical New York liberal. And several more moderate candidates want to oust Schumer as majority leader.

SCHUMER ARGUES that a shutdown, which was looking likely just 24 hours ago, would have given Donald Trump and Elon Musk even more political power if they could blame a shutdown on Democrats. But what did Schumer have to lose? He had the votes to prevail.

WE HAVE ASSERTED FOR MONTHS that the Democrats have no leaders and no agenda — and that assessment prevails. Will the public really credit Democrats from avoiding a shutdown, or have the Republicans won a strategic victory?

THIS CAPITULATION BY SCHUMER goes a long way toward settling budget issues for six months — and frees up time on Capitol Hill to begin working on a tax bill. For the markets, this tax angle is the major take-away.


The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of AGF, its subsidiaries or any of its affiliated companies, funds or investment strategies.

The views expressed in this blog are provided as a general source of information based on information available as of the date of publication and should not be considered as personal investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy and/or sell securities. Speculation or stated believes about future events, such as market or economic conditions, company or security performance, or other projections represent the beliefs of the author and do not necessarily represent the view of AGF, its subsidiaries or any of its affiliated companies, funds or investment strategies. Every effort has been made to ensure accuracy in these commentaries at the time of publication; however, accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Market conditions may change and AGF accepts no responsibility for individual investment decisions arising from the use of or reliance on the information contained herein. Any financial projections are based on the opinions of the author and should not be considered as a forecast. The forward looking statements and opinions may be affected by changing economic circumstances and are subject to a number of uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in the forward looking statements. The information contained in this commentary is designed to provide you with general information related to the political and economic environment in the United States. It is not intended to be comprehensive investment advice applicable to the circumstances of the individual.

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About AGF Management Limited

Founded in 1957, AGF Management Limited (AGF) is an independent and globally diverse asset management firm. Our companies deliver excellence in investing in the public and private markets through three business lines: AGF Investments, AGF Capital Partners and AGF Private Wealth.

AGF brings a disciplined approach, focused on incorporating sound, responsible and sustainable corporate practices. The firm’s collective investment expertise, driven by its fundamental, quantitative and private investing capabilities, extends globally to a wide range of clients, from financial advisors and their clients to high-net worth and institutional investors including pension plans, corporate plans, sovereign wealth funds, endowments and foundations.

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Written by

Greg Valliere

Greg Valliere

Chief U.S. Policy Strategist

AGF Investments

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