
Donald Trump, Off the Rails
Author: Greg Valliere
October 21, 2024
REPUBLICAN POLITICAL OPERATIVES were aghast this weekend when Donald Trump unleashed a long rant about golfer Arnold Palmer’s genitals (we’re not making this up). And Trump fired profanities against Kamala Harris.
“TRUMP IS OFF THE RAILS,” a GOP official told us yesterday. Within the party, there’s genuine concern over Trump’s age and his stability. Can Trump serve for the next four years?
GO FIGURE: Despite his erratic behavior, Trump has gained a point or two against Kamala Harris in the past week, and the electoral math looks difficult for Harris.
WE WERE PREPARED to predict this morning that Harris will win, but that would be based on her winning Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and perhaps one odd vote in Nebraska. That’s too close to base a prediction.
ONE OF THE MANY REASONS why this election is difficult to predict is that the very well funded Harris is likely to win the popular vote — perhaps by two or three million votes — while she could barely lose the Electoral College vote.
IF THE DEMOCRATS LOSE in that scenario, the party’s attorneys are prepared to sue based on voting irregularities. A lawsuit from Trump, if he loses, is virtually guaranteed.
THIS WAS A QUIET WEEKEND FOR POLLS, but some major new surveys will be out within the next few days. We think Harris can win Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, but that’s not a safe bet. Trump, meanwhile, is on a roll, oblivious to charges that he has gone off the rails.
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EDITOR’S NOTE: We have a very early flight tomorrow morning and won’t publish, back on Wednesday.
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