Getting Closer on a Deal
Author: Greg Valliere
November 7, 2025
The airline crisis has pushed Congress closer to passing a stop-gap deal that would simply defer the heavy lifting until winter or later.
What has changed this week? Two major changes — The Republican debacle in Tuesday’s election has convinced GOP leaders to sue for peace and Donald Trump finally has entered the battle.
But a deal still looks difficult. The Democrats are in no rush to get a deal; they’re prepared to wait and bask in their election success. (Getting better poll numbers is more important than feeding people in this town.)
If there are signs of a deal this weekend, it would still require 60 votes in the Senate, and neither party has that many now despite stirrings by moderates.
So, the shutdown won’t end until the middle of next week, if then. Depressingly, any deal is likely to simply to be temporary; a final agreement may last only until January, when we could get to do this all over again.
Watch Trump — he’s the only politician who can get a deal, and his base is restive, worried that the markets and the economy will falter if he doesn’t take decisive action.
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