Reeling Democrats Worry — Will There Be More Disclosures in Biden Probe?
Author: Greg Valliere
January 13, 2023
DEMOCRATS WORRY ABOUT WHAT MIGHT COME NEXT: Are there more documents? Could an aggressive special counsel dig up damaging information? Will Republicans score political points? Has Biden hit a pothole in his path toward nomination for a second term?
WE TALKED WITH DEMOCRATS yesterday about this stunning turn of events, and they all asserted — adamantly — that Biden’s alleged transgressions aren’t as blatant as Trump’s. But this argument misses the point: Biden now faces a special prosecutor, and for most Americans, there will be a sense that both he and Trump are tainted.
EVERYONE WE TALKED WITH had this common refrain: “What was Biden thinking?” How could he leave these documents in his garage? Perhaps it was sloppy record-keeping, perhaps it was inattention to details, or perhaps it was an attitude that the rules didn’t apply to him.
FOR REPUBLICANS, STILL RECOVERING from their cringe-inducing spectacle in the House, this is a gift from God. The GOP already has planned several hearings on alleged corruption in Biden’s family, and hard-line GOP activists believe they can put
together an impeachment case.
THERE’S ABSOLUTELY NO CHANCE that impeachment could succeed in the Senate, where a two-thirds vote is required to convict, and there’s a likelihood that anti-Biden Republicans could over-play their hand. But Democrats on Capitol Hill are bracing for new disclosures; they’re clearly on the defensive.
DESPITE AN UPTICK IN BIDEN’S job approval rating, and signs that inflation has
peaked, a surprisingly large percentage of Democrats are lukewarm about nominating Biden for a second term. And several major players — including Govs. Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan and Phil Murphy in New Jersey — are ready to run if Biden drops out.
THE PROSPECT OF RELENTLESS REPUBLICAN INVESTIGATIONS — with more disclosures to come — has persuaded some Democrats we talked with yesterday to question whether Biden is a sure bet to run again.
WE HAVE BEEN OUTSPOKEN THAT BIDEN could decide not to run, largely because he would be 86 years old at the end of a second term. But he had a surprisingly successful second half of 2022 and has told party insiders that he’s running again.
OUR SENSE is that the country doesn’t want another Biden-Trump race, with the same tired allegations from both of them. Voters want a different choice — not two candidates who are under criminal investigation.
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