Some Early Conclusions as War Erupts
Author: Greg Valliere
October 10, 2023
The sky’s the limit for U.S. and Western aid to Israel, in light of the barbaric attacks on Israeli civilians. Could massive arms shipments reduce the resolve to send weapons to Ukraine? There’s only so much aid that the West can provide to Kyiv, which may need a haircut.
The stunning intelligence failure in Israel and the U.S. will have major repercussions — how could the West be caught so badly off guard?
Congress cannot afford to bicker and look foolish for months to come; the House may come to its senses and consider bringing Kevin McCarthy back as Speaker.
The stern messages to Mideast radicals from Joe Biden and Mitch McConnell — while Donald Trump talked largely about trivial issues in Iowa this weekend — could be viewed as a turning point. Israel will enjoy enormous support in the U.S. even if the war drags on.
HIGH HOPES FOR REDUCED DEFENSE SPENDING — a peace dividend, if you will — is totally off the table. Another surge of Pentagon outlays — led by shipbuilding — is inevitable. Also inevitable: Israel will win this war.
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