What We’re Watching in Tuesday’s Elections — as Donald Trump’s Lead Widens
Author: Greg Valliere
November 6, 2023
OHIO WILL VOTE on a constitutional amendment that would guarantee abortion rights. Republicans have been hurt in the past two years because of their restrictive abortion policies, many of which outlaw the procedure with no exceptions. This has backfired on the GOP, and Ohio would be the biggest electoral victory yet for abortion rights supporters.
TWO GOVERNORS RACES are in the spotlight. In pro-Republican Kentucky, the Democratic governor, Andy Beshear, is seeking a second term. His big lead this summer has narrowed to a virtual tie, polltakers say, as Beshear distances himself from Joe Biden. In another interesting race, Mississippi Republican Gov. Tate Reeves is in a surprisingly close race; his Democratic opponent, Brandon Presley, is closing fast.
AND THERE’S A FIERCE RACE IN VIRGINIA, with four open seats up for grabs in the Virginia Senate and five in the state’s House of Delegates. There will be elections for all Senate and House seats — a huge test of Gov. Glenn Youngkin’s popularity. Democrats think abortion rights will help them; Republicans say public revulsion over crime will make the difference.
IF VIRGINIA’S REPUBLICANS HAVE A GOOD NIGHT, speculation will rise immediately that Youngkin will make a late entry into the GOP presidential race, but it strikes us that he has waited too long.
THE DEMOCRATS NEED GOOD RESULTS ON TUESDAY NIGHT to change the subject from the eye-popping polls this weekend that show Donald Trump leading Biden in several battleground states — Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Nevada and Georgia, with Biden slightly ahead in Wisconsin. Biden won all six states in 2020. He should consider dropping out, many stunned Democrats said this weekend, although there’s no indication that Biden will.
THERE WILL BE OTHER DISTRACTIONS FOR DEMOCRATS TO EXPLOIT: Trump testifies in a New York City court this week, the Republicans will debate in Miami on Wednesday night, and Congressional fighting will heat up over aid to Israel and Ukraine.
BUT THE BIG STORY will continue to be Trump, as Democrats come to grips with the likelihood that Joe Biden is now the underdog in 2024.
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